Turkey has become an attractive destination for both local and international real estate investors, thanks to its strategic location, booming economy, and recent changes in property regulations. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell property in Turkey, it’s crucial to understand the regulations governing the process. This article provides an in-depth look at the key […]
In a significant move that highlights Turkey’s improving economic stability, Fitch Ratings has upgraded the country’s credit rating from B+ to BB-, with a stable outlook. This marks the second upgrade by Fitch in 2024, underscoring the positive strides Turkey is making in strengthening its external buffers and restoring confidence in its monetary policies. This […]
The report delves into the intricacies of the Turkey property market during the first quarter of 2024. Through meticulous analysis of key statistics and trends by Realty Homist experts, we aim to provide valuable insights for investors, developers, and stakeholders operating within this dynamic sector.
As Turkey strides into 2024, its real estate market is poised for a transformative journey, shaped by economic shifts, political developments, and technological innovations. In this forecast, we dissect the intricate tapestry of factors influencing the sector, offering a glimpse into potential challenges, emerging trends, and strategic opportunities. From the impact of government policies on housing to the role of PropTech in reshaping property transactions, this article aims to equip investors, developers, and homebuyers with the insights needed to navigate the dynamic landscape of Turkey’s real estate market in the coming year.
While third-quarter transactions in 2023 show a 1% increase, we are still witnessing a 14.9% decrease in the first nine months of the year compared to a similar period in 2022, according to statistics. The recent increase in bank interest rates has had a direct impact on housing transactions with bank facilities. In fact, September saw the lowest real estate transactions since 2021, and this trend is expected to continue through the end of 2023.
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In a closely watched electoral showdown, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has emerged victorious in Turkey’s presidential election, extending his rule into a third decade. Defeating opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu in a tense runoff vote held on Sunday, President Erdogan’s re-election cements his position as the country’s paramount political figure. With nearly all votes counted, preliminary official results announced by Turkey’s Supreme Election Council (YSK) confirm Erdogan’s win with 52.14% of the votes, while Kilicdaroglu received 47.86%.
That being said, Turkey has a large and diverse real estate market, with a significant amount of foreign investment. Despite political and economic challenges in recent years, the real estate market has remained relatively stable and continues to attract investors from around the world.
As summery of our studies we have two scenarios for real estate market:
Scenario 1: If Erdogan wins
The trends of market will continue and housing prices will probably hike during next 5 years.
Scenario 1: If Kilicdaroglu wins
The Turkish housing market experienced a decline in the number of transactions during Q1-2023. This was largely due to the earthquake that occurred in the southeast of Turkey in February and the upcoming election on May 14, 2023. Non-Turkish buyers had a very small share of the market compared to 96.4% of Turkish buyers. Istanbul remained the city with the highest number of transactions, with 50,461 units sold, indicating a 12% decrease compared to the same period in 2022.
The 7.8-magnitude quake that struck southeastern Turkey – Kahramanmaras, Gaziantep and Adana – left more than 80,000 buildings partially or fully damaged with more than 35,000 fatalities. That catastrophic earthquake will likely become Turkey’s deadliest — a 1939 quake killed 32,962 people.
Generally that natural disaster will have an impact on the Turkey’s real estate market specially in the affected areas, as well as on the overall economy of the country. In the immediate aftermath of a significant earthquake, we expect demand for real estate in the affected area may decline as people move away from the area or are hesitant to invest in property there. This can lead to a decrease in property values and a slowdown in the local real estate market. In cities like Istanbul, the demand may decrease also but due to significant demand in the area that won’t last longer.
It’s also worth noting that the impact of earthquakes on the real estate market in Turkey can be reflected on factors such as the overall economic conditions in the country and the level of investment in the affected areas.